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Tech predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

83%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$377K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Largest Company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of May?

94%

NVIDIA

$4M Vol.

$221K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Largest Company end of June?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of June?

82%

NVIDIA

$12M Vol.

$213K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$191K today

$134K Liq.

43

Ends in over 1 year

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Tech·AI

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

2%

$232K Vol.

$120K today

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Tech·Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

50%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$54.2K today

$150K Liq.

241

Ends in over 1 year

2nd largest company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

2nd largest company end of May?

93%

Alphabet

$154K Vol.

$52.2K today

$163K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?
Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

72%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$818K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

94%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

48

Gemini 3.2 released on...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

93%

May 19

$140K Vol.

$175K Liq.

3

Ends in 18 days

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

35%

$372K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

39

Ends in 8 months

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap

31%

$50B–$60B

$30.3K Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?
Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

1%

1500+

$170K Vol.

$48.5K Liq.

98

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Tech·AI

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

11%

$77.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of December 2026?

60%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$542K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

95%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$77.9K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Tech·Elon Musk

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

2%

$231K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

3rd largest company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

3rd largest company end of May?

94%

Apple

$104K Vol.

$121K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

98%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$122K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

33%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

57

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $46.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.